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What is Forex??

Sabtu, 17 Januari 2009

FOREX (FOReign EXchange market) is an international foreign exchange market, where money is sold and bought freely. FOREX was launched in the 1970s, when free exchange rates were introduced, and only the participants of the market determine the price of one currency against the other proceeding from supply and demand.


FOREX is a perfect market. It is also the biggest liquid financial market. According to various assessments, money masses in the market constitute from 1 to 3 trillion US dollars a day. (It is impossible to determine an absolutely exact number because trading is not centralized on an exchange.) Transactions are conducted all over the world via telecommunications 24 hours a day from 00:00 GMT on Monday to 10:00 pm GMT on Friday. Practically in every time zone (that is, in Frankfurt-on-Main, London, New York, Tokyo, Hong Kong, etc.) there are dealers who will quote currencies.”
FOREX is a more objective market, because if some of its participants would like to change prices, for some manipulative purpose, they would have to operate with tens of billions dollars. That is why any influence by a single participants in the market is practically out of the question. The superior liquidity allows the traders to open and/or close positions within a few seconds. The time of keeping a position is arbitrary and has no limits: from several seconds to many years. It depends only on your trading strategies. Although the daily fluctuations of currencies are rather insignificant, you may use the credit lines, that are accessible even to currency speculators with small capitals ($ 1,000 - 5,000), where the profit may be impressive.
The idea of marginal trading stems from the fact that in FOREX speculative interests can be satisfied without a real money supply. This decreases overhead expenses for transferring money and gives an opportunity to open positions with a small account in US dollars, buying and selling a lot of other currencies. That is, on can conduct transactions very quickly, getting a big profit, when the exchange rates go up or down. Many speculative transactions in the international financial markets are made on the principles of marginal trading.
Margin trading is trading with a borrowed capital. Marginal trading in an exchange market uses lots. 1 lot equals approximately $100,000, but to open it it is necessary to have only from 0.5% to 4% of the sum.
For example, you have analyzed the situation in the market and come to the conclusion that the pound will go up against the dollar. You open 1 lot for buying the pound (GBP) with the margin 1% (1:1000 leverage) at the price of 1.49889 and wait for the exchange rate to go up. Some time later your expectations become true. You close the position at 1.5050 and earn 61 pips (about $ 405).
Everyday fluctuations of currencies constitute about 100 to 150 pips, depending on the characteristics of each pair which is trade.
In FOREX, it's not obligatory to buy some currency first in order to sell it later. It's possible to open positions for buying and selling any currency without actually having it. Usually Internet-brokers establish the minimum deposit such as $ 2000, for working in the FOREX market, and grant a leverage of 1:100, 1:200,1:300,1:400, 1:500
In order to assess the situation in the market a trader has to be able to use fundamental and/or technical analysis, as well as to make decisions in the constantly changing current of information about political and economic character. Most small and medium players in financial markets use technical analysis. Technical analysis presupposes that all the information about the market and its further fluctuations is contained in the price chain. Any factor, that has some influence on the price, be it economic, political or psychological, has already been considered by the market and included in the price. The initial data for a technical analysis are prices: the highest and the lowest prices, the price of opening and closing within a certain period of time, and the volume of transactions.
A technical analysis is founded on three suppositions:
Movement of the market considers everything;
Movement of prices is purposeful;
History repeats itself.
That is, technical analysis is a statistical and mathematical analysis of previous quotes and a prognosis of coming prices.
A number of technical indicators have been installed into the meta trader trading system. Analyzing the indicators one can come to the conclusion about further movements of the quoted currencies.
Fundamental analysis is an analysis of current situations in the country of the currency, such as its economy, political events, and rumors. The country's economy depends on the rate of inflation and unemployment, on the interest rate of its Central Bank, and on tax policy. Political stability also influences the exchange rate. Policy of the Central Bank has a special role, as concentrated interventions or refusal from them greatly influence the exchange rate.
At the same time one should not consider fundamental analysis just as an analysis of the economic situation in the country itself. A far bigger role in the FOREX market belongs to the expectations of the market participants and their assessment of these expectations. Various prognoses and bulletins, issued by the participants, have a strong influence on the expectations. Very often an effect of the so-called self-filfilling prophecy occurs when market players raise or lower the exchange rates according to the prognosis. But a deep and thorough fundamental analysis is available only for big banks with a staff of professional analysts and constant access to a wide field of information.
In spite of these different approaches, both forms of analyses complement one another. Traders who act on the basis of a fundamental analysis, have to consider some technical characteristics of the market (the main rates of support, such as resistance and resale), and supporters of the technical approach to the market must track the main news (interest rates, important political events).
The main merits of the FOREX market are:
The biggest number of participants and the largest volumes of transactions;
Superior liquidity and speed of the market: transactions are conducted within a few seconds according to online quotes;
The market works 24 hours a day, every working days;
A trader can open a position for any period of time he wants;
No fees, except for the difference between buying and selling prices;
An opportunity to get a bigger profit that the invested sum;
Qualified work in the FOREX market can become your main professional activity;
You can make deals any time you like.
source : http://www.pro-forex.com/en/forex.php


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Leverage and Margin

I Have No Money To Buy 100,000 EURO,how?
The answer: LEVERAGE and MARGIN
Illustration:
"Leverage" as we are borrowing money at broker with the company and with a certain amount provide some assurance that the named "Margin"
Types of Leverage
Have some type of leverage in general, namely:
1:1 means that the money margin = contract value (100%)
1:50 means, margin = 2% of the value of the contract
1:100 means, margin = 1% of the value of the contract
1:200 means, margin = 0.50% of the value of the contract
1:400 means, margin = 0.25% of the value of the contract
1:500 means, margin = 0:20% of the value of the contract
Description: Margin = Collateral
Collateral (margin) will be returned to your account balance your portfolio is more intact after the position of your order is closed (close) or clear


Margin Calculation:
Indirect Currency (USD / JPY, USD / CHF, USD / ...) :
Lot 100,000 x % Margin
Example:
Buy 0.3 lot USD / JPY 121.07 in price,
with the leverage 1:200 = 100,000 x 0.3 x 0.5% = USD 150
Direct Currencies (GBP / USD, EUR / USD, ... / USD) :
Lot 100,000 x %Margin x Market Price
Example:
Buy 2.1 lot EUR / USD at 1.3010 price,
with the leverage 1:500 = 100,000 x 2.1 x 0.2% x 1.3010 = USD 546.42
For GENERAL Cross Currency Rate (GBP / JPY, EUR / GBP, and other currencies that are not proportionate with the USD):
Margin Rate for Cross is calculated from the Base Currency
Example: (GBP / JPY) = Base Currency is GBP
Buy 1.5 lot GBP / JPY 242.65 in price,
with 1:500 leverage (eg, at the price of GBP / USD = 2.0360) = 100,000 x 1.5 x 0.2% x 2.0360 = USD 610.8
You will not be able to order the rest of the Free Margin if you are not sufficient.
The illustrations of Leverage & Margin
illustrations (with 1:500 leverage in your account)
You want to buy a $ 100,000 USD / JPY on the market (or = 1regular lot),
You do not need to pay capital of $ 100,000, But you just spent the margin of course that is 0.2%
the margin for $ 100,000 is only $ 200. (1:500 leverage, margin 0.2%)
And when you get profit from the transaction, the results can be the same magnitude as well as with trade $ 100,000 capital directly in the market without any leverage.
And if you loss, you only loss of $ 200 and not $ 100,000. (you can also limit your losses with Stop Loss)
So Modern trade in Forex is more profitable and risk is lower than the traditional type, because of Leverage facilities and Forex Margin in the Modern trading. and the potential results (Gain), which also obtained the same magnitude.
a high Leverage facilities help to increase the resilience point
Calculation of Profit and Loss
For Direct Currencies : (for example: EUR / USD, GBP / USD)
movement pips x lot x $ 10
Example: Buy 1 lot EUR / USD from 1.3000 to 1.3008 = 8 pips
8 pips x 1 x $ 10 = $ 80
For Indirect Currency: ( for example: USD / JPY, USD / CHF)
(open price - the price close) lot x x 100,000 / close price
Example: Sell 0.2 lot USD / JPY from 122.12 to 121.08
((122.12 - 121.08) x 0.2 x 100000) / 121.08 = $ 171.78
For GENERAL Cross Currency Rate : (do not be compared with the USD, for example: GBP / JPY, EUR / GBP)
If Direct Counter Currency = Lot x 10 x movement point (pips)
If inDirect Counter Currency (Lot x 1000 / counter currency price at the time) x movement point (pips)
Example (Indirect): Sell 0.3 lot GBP / JPY from 242.85 to 242.50.
242.85 to 242.50 = 35 pips (and price of USD / JPY was at 119.15)
(0.3 x 1000 / 119.15) x 35 pips = $ 88.12
Example (Direct): Buy 0.2 lot EUR / GBP from 0.6700 to 0.6725.
0.6700 to 0.6725 = 25 pips
0.2 x 10 x 25 pips = $ 50



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